Content of the lecture
Statistical Inference and Econometrics
Part I: Probability
Random Variables and Distributions
- Special Discrete Distributions
- Binomial Distribution
- Poisson Distribution
- Geometric Distribution
- Hypergeometric Distribution
- Approximation of Discrete Distributions
- Special Continuous Distributions
- Rectangular Distribution
- Exponential Distribution
- Normal Distribution
Multivariate Distributions and Limit Theorems
- Joint Distribution of Random Variables
- Joint and Conditional Distribution of Random Variables
- Covariance and Coefficient of Correlation
- Sums of Random Variables
- Limit Theorems
- Weak Law of Large Numbers
- Central Limit Theorem
Part II: Statistical Inference
Samples and Sample Functions
- Random Sampling
- Statistics (Functions of Random Samples)
- Statisticas for Normally Distributed Samples
- t-Distribution
Method of Estimation for Parameters
- Estimation of Parameters
- Point Estimation
- Unbiasedness and Consistency
- Maximum-Likelihood-Estimator
- Estimation of Expected Values
- Estimation of Probabilities
- Estimation of Variances and Standard Deviations
- Interval Estimation of Expected Values and Probabilities
- Confidence Intervals of Expected Values
- Confidence Intervals of Probabilities
- Sample Size
Testing Procedure
- Estimation of Parameters
- Testing Problem, Hypotheses
- Sampling Errors (Type 1 & 2)
- p-Value
- Testing of Expected Values
- One Sample Tests for Expected Values and Probabilities
- Two Sample Tests for Expected Values and Probabilities
- Tests for Probabilites
- Tests for one Probability or Fractile
- Comparison of two Probabilites or Fractiles
Part III: Econometrics
Multiple linear Regression
- The model of linear multiple regression
- Point estimation
- Point estimation of regression coefficients
- Point estimation of the variance of the error terms
- Interval estimation and hypothesis testing
- Confidence intervals for the regression coefficients
- Hypothesis tests for the regression coefficients
- Test for overall correlation (F-test)
- Forecast
- Linear regression in R
- Extension of the model
- Binary and categorical regressors
- Modeling of more general correlations